September 30, 2025By Julie Biel, CFA

Looking Past Rate Decisions

 Bloomberg TV The Close

Watch the Video: Julie Biel on Fed Policy, Market Optimism, and What Investors Should Watch Next

This interview with Julie Biel, CFA, was recorded on 9/16/2025. Julie’s segment begins at the 36:52 minute-mark.
In this video, Julie Biel shares insights on:

  • How Fed policy expectations, political pressure, and inflation risks influence market sentiment
  • Why rising enthusiasm around AI and capital investment is lifting valuations—but not without uncertainty
  • What investors should watch as tariffs, wages, and long-term growth drivers shape the next market phase

While markets frequently fixate on Federal Reserve decisions, investors should understand that monetary policy is only one piece of a much larger puzzle. In this discussion, Julie Biel explores how political pressure, inflation risks, tariffs, and enthusiasm around artificial intelligence are shaping today’s investment landscape — and what these forces may signal for long-term portfolio strategy.

Tariffs and the Hidden Path to Inflation

Tariffs rarely hit the economy all at once. Instead, they often create a gradual “drip effect,” making their inflationary impact harder for investors to model.

Julie notes that many companies may initially absorb higher costs, particularly if they built inventory ahead of price increases. The more important question is what happens next—specifically, whether rising costs begin to pressure wages and corporate margins.

Market Enthusiasm Is Rising — Along With Valuations

Excitement around capital investment and artificial intelligence has helped lift equities, pushing valuations higher whether fully justified or not. Optimism alone can be enough to propel markets in the near term, but it also raises the bar for future performance.

For disciplined investors, this environment reinforces the importance of selectivity.

AI May Drive the Next Growth Cycle — But Visibility Is Limited

Artificial intelligence remains one of the market’s most compelling long-term themes. However, Julie emphasizes that the next leg of growth may depend heavily on whether AI delivers on its promise—something that is not yet fully clear.

Periods of technological transition often create both opportunity and uncertainty, making patience a strategic advantage.

Look Beyond the Headlines
Markets will continue to react to policy expectations, geopolitical developments, and emerging technologies. But we believe strong investment outcomes typically come from staying focused on fundamentals, managing risk, and maintaining a long-term perspective — even when enthusiasm runs high.

For more information, contact Kayne Anderson Rudnick today.

Any securities shown were displayed by the broadcaster and do not reflect specific investment recommendations.

The information included in this content is being provided by Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management, LLC (“KAR”) for illustrative purposes only and is not intended by KAR to be interpreted as investment advice, a recommendation or solicitation to purchase securities, or a recommendation of a particular course of action and has not been updated since the date of the material. KAR does not undertake to update the information presented should it change. This information is based on KAR’s opinions at the time of the publication of this material and are subject to change based on market activity. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. KAR makes no warranty as to the accuracy or reliability of the information contained herein. Data is obtained from systems believed by KAR to be reliable. Certain information contained herein has been obtained from third party sources and such information has not been independently verified by KAR. The information provided here should not be considered to be insurance, legal, or tax advice and all investors should consult their insurance, legal, and tax professionals about the specifics of their own insurance, estate, and tax situations to determine any proper course of action for them. KAR does not provide insurance, legal, or tax advice, and information presented here may not be true or applicable for all investor situations. KAR’s investment strategies may not be suitable or appropriate for all investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation. Potential investors should consult with their own financial professional before determining whether to invest in a particular investment or investment strategy. Additional information about KAR’s services and fees may be found in KAR’s Part 2A of Form ADV, which is available upon request or can be found at https://kayne.com/wp-content/uploads/ADV-Part-2A.pdf.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.